The second installment of previewing potential running mates will discuss Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal. I'm alternating Democrats and Republicans, and with coverage of Republicans, it's about he (or she) can help or hurt Obama's chances.
So here's the take on Jindal:
Pros:
1. He balances the GOP ticket agewise. He's half McCain's age
and that could alleviate voter worries about McCain's age.
2. He has a already developed a "reformer" reputation, which
fits right in with McCain.
3. His hard-right social consevatism could bring back suspicious
evangelicals back to McCain. He could also increase McCain's appeal among Catholics.
4. Can he bring in Indian-American voters to turn out in larger
numbers and vote for MCCain? It's a possibility, but it would need further analysis.
Cons:
1. He's pretty much unknown outside of Louisiana, and he won't
really help carry a swing state.
2. His youthfulness could undercut McCain's experience argument.
3. His hard-right stances on social issues (especially abortion
where he is absolutely opposed with no exceptions) could drive
women voters to Obama. It could cost McCain NH, CO, WI, NM, and even PA.
Originally I feared this selection, as I thought Jindal's youthfulness would be the perfect complement to McCain. Now I think a McCain-Jindal ticket is slightly favorable to Obama, as any increase in support from social conservatives will be offset
by greater support for Obama from women, especially suburban women, where he's having some difficulty.
Tomorrow's discussion: Sen. Jim Webb.
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